Tropical Storm Gonzalo is no threat to Sebastian at this time

Trpoical Storm Gonzalo
Trpoical Storm Gonzalo

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to become a hurricane by Friday morning, but the current track will send it west.

There is still an incredible amount of uncertainty in Gonzalo’s intensity forecast. Sea surface temperatures to the east of the Windward Islands are warm, and the storm is likely to be moving through an environment of relatively light shear at least for the next 48 hours or so, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Small cyclones like Gonzalo tend to succumb to adverse environmental conditions quite easily, and it’s possible that the system could struggle during the next couple of days. Most models show Gonzalo strengthening to a hurricane during the next 24 hours before it reaches the Windward Islands.

“There is a higher degree of certainty that Gonzalo would weaken once it moves over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, where even the GFS [model] shows it opening up into a wave,” the NHC said in a statement.

Gonzalo is currently east of the southern Windward Islands with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph.


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About Andy Hodges 2815 Articles
Andy Hodges was born in Annapolis, Maryland, and raised in Jupiter, Florida. He has been a radio and TV personality since the mid-1980s. He has worked for WFLX-TV (Fox 29), WIRK, WLIZ, WIXI, WKSY, WRMF, and others. In 1994, Andy took a break from broadcasting and was a software and systems engineer for various companies. In 2002, he permanently moved back to Sebastian, where Andy's family has lived for over 45 years. He returned to the broadcasting sector in 2005. Andy joined Sebastian Daily as our editor-in-chief in 2016.