Tropics Watch: Tropical Storm Watches Could Be Issued in the Caribbean in Latest Update

Latest spaghetti models of potential tropical storm.
Latest spaghetti models of potential tropical storm.

A tropical disturbance with a 70 percent chance of formation could soon become Tropical Storm Fred as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph into the Caribbean.

The latest update: Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) predict a tropical depression sometime Monday night.

“Tropical storm watches or warnings could be required today with shorter-than-normal lead times for portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico,” the NHC said in a statement.

Computer storm models mostly agree with a path towards Florida by the end of the week. However, please keep in mind that the path can always change again. It’s still way too early to predict.

The tropical disturbance was expected to fizzle out a few days ago, but a shift in a high-pressure system and other environmental factors allowed it to pick up steam.

Is there a Hurricane threat for Florida?

Not at this time, and maybe never. There’s a lot of environmental factors that are expected to keep this storm minimal, and it may only remain a tropical storm.

It’s still way too early to predict a hurricane or tropical storm for Florida. But, these are early predictions, and everyone in Sebastian should stay alert this week.

Should we prepare for a Hurricane?

We live in a hurricane-prone area, so we should always be prepared during hurricane season. But it doesn’t mean you should immediately run out and buy up supplies either. It would be premature to do that now. There’s no need to worry or panic right now.

These are early predictions, so it’s important to stay alert this week as the tropics can change by the hour.

Sebastian Daily will continue to monitor the tropical disturbance.

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About Andy Hodges
Andy Hodges was born in Annapolis, Maryland, and raised in Jupiter, Florida. He has been a radio and TV personality since the mid-1980s. He has worked for WFLX-TV (Fox 29), WIRK, WLIZ, WIXI, WKSY, WRMF, and others. In 1994, Andy took a break from broadcasting and was a software and systems engineer for various companies in Atlanta, Georgia. In 2002, he moved back to Florida and settled in Sebastian, where Andy's family has lived for over 45 years. He returned to the broadcasting sector in 2005. Andy joined Sebastian Daily as our editor-in-chief in 2016.