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Home Weather

NOAA Hurricane Predictions & Recommendations for Sebastian

Tina Hodges by Tina Hodges
Aug 7, 2020 / 9:23 AM
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NOAA predicts busy hurricane season for 2020.

NOAA predicts busy hurricane season for 2020.

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is predicting one of the most active hurricane seasons on record. They are encouraging everyone to get ready now before more storms threaten. It’s always better to be prepared here in Sebastian, Florida.

Thankfully, Indian River County was spared by hurricane Isaias as it only brushed our coastline. There were no reports of damage in our county.

These are the NOAA’s hurricane season predictions for 2020.

Colorado State University (CSU) updated their season hurricane predictions on August 5 and are now calling for an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. The CSU team predicts that hurricane activity will be about 190% of the average season. The forecast team predicts a total of 24 named storms in 2020, which is 11 more storms than average. National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated their season predictions on August 6.

There is a higher potential for an “extremely active” season. There have been a record-setting nine named storms so far and this year has the potential to be one of the busiest on record. Their updated outlook calls for 19-25 names storms, of which 7-11 will become hurricanes, including 3-6 major hurricanes (this includes the nine named storms to date).

Why are they predicting an increased hurricane season?

  • The sea surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean are much warmer than usual.
  • Wind shear and trade winds in the Atlantic are very weak.
  • There is a very active West African monsoon season.
  • Potential La Niña which can contribute to even weaker trade winds.

What is the NOAA recommending we do to prepare?

Our recommendation is for you to know your risk, have a plan, remain vigilant, and be prepared to act when necessary. Download a copy of the Official Disaster Guide for Indian River County or pick one up at the county libraries or county administration building.

Due to COVID-19, evacuees are strongly encouraged to seek shelter at the home of a friend, relative, or out of the area. Public shelters are recommended as a last resort.

In the event of a hurricane, follow Sebastian Daily for the latest information in Sebastian, Florida.

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