• Contact Us
  • About Us
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Advertising
  • Disclosure
  • Newsletter
Saturday, April 1, 2023
Sebastian Daily
  • News
    • All News
    • Business
    • Community
    • Crime
    • Food
    • Health
    • Fishing
    • Letters to the Editor
    • Newsletter
    • Schools
    • Traffic
    • Videos
  • Events
  • Calendar
  • Awards
    • Best Bars in Sebastian
    • Best Diners in Sebastian, Florida
    • Best Music in Sebastian
    • Best Pizza in Sebastian
    • Best Pubs in Sebastian
    • Best Sub Sandwiches in Sebastian
    • Best Wings in Sebastian
  • Fishing
  • Inspections
  • Obituaries
  • Weather
No Result
View All Result
  • News
    • All News
    • Business
    • Community
    • Crime
    • Food
    • Health
    • Fishing
    • Letters to the Editor
    • Newsletter
    • Schools
    • Traffic
    • Videos
  • Events
  • Calendar
  • Awards
    • Best Bars in Sebastian
    • Best Diners in Sebastian, Florida
    • Best Music in Sebastian
    • Best Pizza in Sebastian
    • Best Pubs in Sebastian
    • Best Sub Sandwiches in Sebastian
    • Best Wings in Sebastian
  • Fishing
  • Inspections
  • Obituaries
  • Weather
No Result
View All Result
Sebastian Daily
No Result
View All Result
Home Weather

National Hurricane Center Testing 7-Day Forecasts

Andy Hodges by Andy Hodges
Feb 26, 2018 / 9:19 AM
A A
National Hurricane Center is testing 7-day forecasts. (Photo: Hurricane Irma captured by NASA)

National Hurricane Center is testing 7-day forecasts. (Photo: Hurricane Irma captured by NASA)

Share on FacebookShare on TwitterShare via Email

SEBASTIAN – The National Hurricane Center is testing with extended forecasts that may predict the paths of hurricanes up to a week in advance, according to officials.

NHC will experiment with the new forecasts by adding Day 6 and 7 to the tracks with maximum wind estimates.

However, the information will not be distributed to the public. Instead, officials will test the seven-day forecasts and analyze the data in 2020. From there, they will decide on making it public.

“In 2018, for the first time, we’re going to be doing in-house forecasts out to seven days because the techniques have gotten good enough,” Mark DeMaria, NHC branch chief, said in a statement.

“It’s allowing us to go further into the future,” DeMaria added.

In 1954, federal meteorologists started issuing 24-hour hurricane forecast, then two-day forecasts in 1961, and three-day forecasts in 1964.

The NHC then experimented with five-day forecasts in 2001, then began publicly releasing the information in 2003 after a two-year trial period.

“It’s way beyond the normal watch time frame for the general public. There are certain activities for long-range planning where it would be an advantage. FEMA might be staging resources. Or, certain areas that are especially hard to get ready for hurricanes — like the Florida Keys, which take a long time to evacuate,” DeMaria said.

Demaria also said that NOAA’s first Joint Polar Satellite System environmental satellite, which launched last November, will improve forecast accuracy. The satellite sits in low orbit with microwave sounders that can measure atmospheric temperature and moisture through clouds.

The Atlantic hurricane season lasts from June 1 through Nov. 30.

The NHC’s average track errors for tropical storms and hurricanes were fewer in 2017 than during any previous Atlantic hurricane season. In fact, DeMaria said the five-day forecasts are about as accurate as the two-day forecasts were during the 1990s.

“We actually had record-accurate forecasts at every single time period, out to five days, in 2017. Part of it was due to the fact that the hurricanes were at low latitudes. They were a little easier to forecast. It’s also due to the fact that the models have gotten better,” DeMaria said.

However, DeMaria admitted that Irma’s forecast track bounced across Florida days before the storm struck.

UPCOMING EVENTS

Apr 1
1:00 pm - 5:00 pm

Guy & Frankie will perform at Tiki Bar & Grill

Apr 1
1:00 pm - 7:00 pm

Space Coast Tots (Food Truck) at Mash Monkeys Brewing Co.

Apr 1
1:00 pm - 8:00 pm

5th Annual Ukulele Fest 2023 at Pareidolia Brewing Company

View Calendar
Previous Post

Captain Hiram’s Public Statement On The Loss Of Tom Collins

Next Post

Man Shoots Firearm in Vero Beach, Tells Deputy “That’s what we do back home”

Next Post
Charles Dexter Moody, of Georgia, shot a relative's firearm outside a Vero Beach home because that's what he does back home. (Photo: Indian River County Sheriff's Office)

Man Shoots Firearm in Vero Beach, Tells Deputy "That's what we do back home"

MORE FROM SEBASTIAN DAILY

Sea Turtles

Let’s Talk Sea Turtles & Conservation at North Indian River County Library

by Andy Hodges
March 29, 2023

...

Local resident writes poem about Sebastian, Florida.

Local resident writes poem about Sebastian, Florida

by Andy Hodges
March 27, 2023

...

Brandon Mayo

Snook, redfish still dominate Sebastian Inlet, plus our boating forecast

by Andy Hodges
March 28, 2023

...

Renovated rooms at Captain Hirams Resort (Credit: Capt. Hirams Resort)

Captain Hirams Resort enhances guest experience with renovations

by Andy Hodges
March 28, 2023

...

UPCOMING EVENTS

Apr 1
1:00 pm - 5:00 pm

Guy & Frankie will perform at Tiki Bar & Grill

Apr 1
1:00 pm - 7:00 pm

Space Coast Tots (Food Truck) at Mash Monkeys Brewing Co.

Apr 1
1:00 pm - 8:00 pm

5th Annual Ukulele Fest 2023 at Pareidolia Brewing Company

Apr 1
2:00 pm - 6:00 pm

Finland Joe & Friends at Earl’s Hideaway Lounge

Apr 1
3:00 pm - 7:00 pm

Jeff Marquis performs at Capt Hirams Sandbar

View Calendar
Sebastian Daily

Newspaper in Sebastian, Florida. Trusted news in Indian River County and Sebastian, Florida. Sebastian Daily offers hometown news, reviews, obituaries, weather, and hurricane updates.

Follow Us on Social Media

Mailing Address

Sebastian Daily, LLC
1603 U.S. Highway 1
Suite 102
Sebastian, Florida 32958

For advertising services or to post an obituary, please call Tina at 772-925-5221.

Categories

  • Business
  • Community
  • Crime
  • Health
  • Inlet
  • Letters to the Editor
  • Obituaries
  • Restaurants
  • Schools
  • Sebastian Calendar of Events and Things To Do at Riverview Park
  • Traffic
  • Videos
  • Weather
  • About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact
  • Disclosure

© 2023 Sebastian Daily. All Rights Reserved. Sebastian Daily® is a registered trademark of Sebastian Daily, LLC.

No Result
View All Result
  • News
    • All News
    • Business
    • Community
    • Crime
    • Food
    • Health
    • Letters to the Editor
    • Traffic
    • Videos
  • Events
  • Calendar
  • Awards
    • Best Bars in Sebastian
    • Best Diners in Sebastian
    • Best Music in Sebastian
    • Best Pizza in Sebastian
    • Best Pubs in Sebastian
    • Best Sub Sandwiches in Sebastian
    • Best Wings in Sebastian
  • Fishing
  • Inspections
  • Obituaries
  • Schools
  • Weather
  • Newsletter

© 2023 Sebastian Daily. All Rights Reserved. Sebastian Daily® is a registered trademark of Sebastian Daily, LLC.