Invest 98L tracking towards Florida, still plenty of time to change path

Invest 98L
Invest 98L

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, although one is moving west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.

While one of the disturbances is showing a tracking towards Florida, anything can happen from now until then.

The first tropical wave is expected to move over the Caribbean Sea and produce disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds. This system is forecast to move slowly westward.

The second tropical wave, called Invest 98L, is showing concern, although not a threat to Florida at this time. The disturbance is 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is producing showers and thunderstorms.

“Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic,” the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said in a statement.

There’s a 90 percent chance of formation during the next five days.

All computer models for Invest 98L are showing a track towards Florida. However, anything can happen from now until then. For example, wind shear could steer the storm away from our coastline.

Also, spaghetti models this far out have never been accurate in past forecasts. We probably won’t know anything for at least five days on whether or not it’s a threat to Sebastian, Florida.

Sebastian Daily will continue to monitor the tropics and report any new information released by the NHC.

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About Andy Hodges
Andy Hodges was born in Annapolis, Maryland and raised in Jupiter, Florida. Andy has been a radio & TV personality since the 1980s. He has worked for WLIZ, WFLX-FOX 29, WIRK, WIXI, WKSY, WRMF, and WJNO to name a few. After spending 7 years in Atlanta, Georgia during the 1990s, Andy returned to Florida and settled in the small town of Sebastian in 2000. In 2005, he returned to the broadcasting news sector and eventually joined our news team in 2016 as editor in chief. Andy's family has lived in Sebastian for more than 45 years.