Hurricane Irma Spaghetti Models Reveal East Florida Path

Hurricane Irma model shows a path to the east of Florida.
Hurricane Irma model shows a path to the east of Florida. (Photo: NOAA)

SEBASTIAN, Florida – Hurricane Irma appears to be shifting more to the east of Sebastian and Vero Beach as meteorologists continue to track its path using a combo of spaghetti models before landfall in Florida.

Hurricane Irma is still a Category 5 storm, but the spaghetti models suggest it will lose some strength as it approaches the Florida coastline.

Sebastian and Vero Beach are still areas that haven’t been ruled out in the path of Irma as the hurricane begins to head on a northward track.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott said that all areas in the state will experience some kind of tropical force winds. Indian River County is expected to be one of those areas. A state of emergency has already been issued for the state.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Irma is expected to decrease to a Category 4 while a low-pressure pushes it eastward on the coastline.

The cone provided by the National Hurricane Center is also showing the storm moving to the east.

Spaghetti models show Hurricane Irma taking an east approach to Florida.
Spaghetti models show Hurricane Irma taking an east approach to Florida. (Photo: The Weather Channel)

Spaghetti models, both U.S. and European, agree that Irma will probably move up the coast of Florida, but the impact is unknown at this time.

Indian River County residents who live in Sebastian and Vero Beach should prepare now and not wait. If you are evacuating, you should do so today or Thursday as traffic could become a problem.

“Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the extremely dangerous core of Irma will continue to move over portions of the Virgin Islands during the next couple of hours, pass near or just north of Puerto Rico this afternoon or tonight, pass near or just north of the coast of the Dominican Republic Thursday, and be near the Turks and Caicos and southeastern Bahamas late Thursday,” the National Hurricane Center stated.

The storm continues to hold maximum sustained winds near 185 mph with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days.

Hurricane Irma is still a very dangerous storm as it approaches Florida. There is now a mandatory evacuation in Key West.

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Andy Hodges began his career in the field of radio and TV broadcasting where he worked for about a decade. The Jupiter, Florida resident then pursued computers as they were coming to market in the late 1980's. Andy has owned a computer business, been a software programmer, and has worked as a Senior Systems Analyst/Engineer in the Information Technology sector in Atlanta. He eventually returned to Florida and made Sebastian his home in 2002.